I can say with some certainty that most households are in better
financial shape now than they were during the recent financial crisis
that crippled the entire economy. In the years ahead, when historians
look back at that financial meltdown, I believe we’ll discover that we
were a lot closer to a financial collapse than we realized.
Things do seem to be improving, although perhaps not at the level we’d
like to see. But it does appear that we are heading further and further
away from a meltdown.
Locally, we nearly lost our region’s heart and soul, the auto industry.
We also saw our state’s major city go through a long and contentious
bankruptcy proceeding. From an investor’s perspective, I’d like to
address bondholders about a couple of lessons we learned from these
events.
To review, bonds are essentially nothing more than IOU’s. They are debt
instruments with a promise to pay back the loaned amount plus interest.
Bonds are generally considered safer than stocks, but as history shows,
it’s possible to lose money when investing in bonds, just as with
stocks.
That’s somewhat contrary to what you learn in financial planning
classes. Bondholders are supposed to be the first in line to get paid in
the event that something goes wrong with the company.
Looking back, when the auto industry was near collapse and trying to
settle with creditors, I was somewhat stunned that the bondholders who
thought they were first to be paid were, in essence,
demoted and pushed back in line behind the auto unions.
Don’t get me wrong. I’m not bashing the unions; it was a good thing for
them. But the whole procedure was contrary to what was taught in
financial planning classes. Seeing that bondholders weren’t the first in
line was quite a surprise.
For years, the city of Detroit borrowed money to meet many of its legal
obligations. The investors who loaned the money to the city, the
bondholders, loaned it because there were legal provisions that they
thought guaranteed they would be paid. As it turned out, the bondholders
did not get back what they thought they were guaranteed.
From the near collapse of the auto industry and the city of Detroit’s
bankruptcy, I believe there are some serious lessons bondholders need to
learn.
One obvious takeaway is that, in spite of the legal requirement, you may
not get paid as promised, especially if the borrower is having
financial issues. Apparently, the financial condition of the company or
organization can outweigh your legal claims.
Another lesson you should learn as an investor is that, rightly or
wrongly, you are considered Wall Street. If there is ever an issue that
pits Wall Street against Main Street, you can be sure that the sentiment
lies with Main Street.
In this day and age, not only do rules change faster than the weather,
there are also exceptions to every rule. As an investor, in this case a
bondholder, you are simply on the wrong side of public opinion.
Again, it’s great that the auto industry has rebounded and Detroit can
put its bankruptcy behind it. Unfortunately, many investors were
surprised that they lost money in what they thought were conservative,
low-risk bond investments. Looking ahead, that’s something
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